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I was in two minds whether to include Oranje as high as the Lower Third Rank, everything that applies for The Transvaal goes double for Oranje, her initial economy is pitiable, and even pruning to the bone with maximum tarriffs is likely to generate a £ or two in surplus each day.
However her initial political reforms and the fact she is civilised provide the nessesary lift, because with careful and wholly tedious planning, Oranje can avoid war altogether and peacefully expand. Doing so in any meaningful timescale however is unlikely.